水库诱发地震的最大震级及其发震时间的预测研究

用信息量法和灰色模型法研究了水库诱发地震的最大震级和发震时间．信息量法是对水库地震震例的地震地质因素和标志进行统计，计算它们对诱发地震震级提供的信息量，据信息量的大小判断诱发地震的可能最大震级；灰色模型法是研究水库诱发地震前震的频次随时间的变化，以变化率最大的时间作为最大地震发生的时间．用新丰江和柯依纳水库地震震例资料对信息量法和灰色模型法进行了检验．结果表明，两种模型方法有一定的可行性．      

水中大地电磁法测深

水中大地电磁法就是采用远参考的方法在水面进行大地电磁法。本文结合作者的实际工作经验,介绍了在湖泊、沼泽等水域开展水中大地电磁测深法(MT法)的工作方法和取得高质量测深资料的措施,总结了方法实施工作中的一些经验和体会,为在大面积水域开展MT工作提供了依据。     

TIMESERIES PREDICTION MODEL CONSISTING OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK AND GENETIC ALGORITHM

The paper introduces the basic concept and flow diagram of genetic algorithm (GA) and themerits and demerits of artificial neural network (ANN) as a timeseries prediction model andthereupon developed is a new model with ANN and GA in combination. Eventually, calculationsare presented with the results and model examined.     

水库诱发地震的预测

从三方面对水库诱发地震进行预测：根椐水库区的地质、地震和工程条件,在水库的设计阶段进行诱发地震的前期评价预测;按国内外已有震例资料预测可能诱发地震的水库发生最大地震的时间;在已初发震的水库对地震的发展趋势和破坏性地震的可能性进行预测     

陡峭S形柔性管初始形状计算

本文采用悬链线方程的解，推导出陡峭Ｓ形柔形管初始形状的计算公式，计算出柔性管的初始形状、张力和弯矩，与国外资料的实例计算进行对比表明，结果相当一致。     

Effect of estradiol-17β on pituitary-thyroidal axis of Japanese eel (Anguilla japonica)

In teleost sPeCies, it is well accepted that estradiol--l75 (E2 )is generated from ovarian fOl-licles stimulated by pituitary gonadOtropins (GTH) (Nagahama, l987). FUrthermore, E2 canstimulate hepatic vitellngenesis and elevate plasrna yOlk protein precursor vite1lOgenin, totalCa and W levels in several teleosts (KorSgaard and Petersen, l976, l978; Whiteheadet al., l978; Elliott et al., l979; Pertersen et al., l983; Wallace, 1985; tapigliati etal., 1999). On the other hand, many stud…     

基于地质统计学与Surpac软件的夏甸金矿区矿化空间分析

矿区外围及深部的成矿预测需要对老矿区矿化空间分布进行定性分析,提取最有利的矿化指标,为控矿规律分析和成矿区圈定提供技术支持。文章以山东夏甸金矿床Ⅶ号矿体群为例,利用Surpac软件建立该矿区地质数据库,进行实验变异函数的计算与理论变异函数拟合,通过交叉验证,获取最优的搜索椭球体参数,构建搜索椭球体模型,揭示出矿体的矿化分布规律,最后在各三维坐标轴平面绘制矿化投影等值线图,直观地展示矿体内部金品位的连续方向,为矿化指标计算提供数据支撑。     

矿区深部隐伏矿体三维可视化预测方法

针对深部隐伏矿定位难题,经多年研究,提出以定位模型-成矿信息-三维预测为主线的隐伏矿体三维可视化预测方法。矿体定位概念模型实现成矿规律到矿化分布规律的转换,获得矿体空间定位量化指标;采用形态分析、距离场或缓冲区分析、蚀变场分析等空间分析方法,分析和定量提取成矿信息指标;采用非线性多元回归、三维模糊证据权等方法,建立矿体三维预测模型,对深部立体单元的品位、金属量和含矿性进行预测。以安徽铜陵凤凰山铜矿和金川铜镍硫化物矿床为例,展开矿区深部三维可视化预测研究。结果显示,该方法能够适用于不同类型矿床的深部找矿工作,对于深部找矿具有重要意义。     

A NUMERICAL STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF THE QINGHAIXIZANG PLATEAU ON THE MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER PROCESSES OF THE SUMMER MONSOON RAIN IN EAST ASIA

By employing the T42L9 spectral model introduced from ECMWF and utilizing the FGGE-III_b datacovering the period from 14 June to 19 June 1979,the effects of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau on the medium-range weather processes of the rain during the onset period of the summer monsoon in Eastern Asia in1979 were studied numerically.According to the initial field of 12GMT 14 June 1979,five-day numericalexperiments with or without the orographic effects were carried out respectively.The results show that thePlateau can influence the precipitation significantly during the summer monsoon season.Although the summermonsoon is the result of the seasonal variations of the global circulation and the heating difference betweenland and sea,it is influenced evidently by the Plateau in medium-range processes.There are very complexinteractions between the mountain and diabatic heating effects so that both of them should be consideredcorrectly in the general circulation models in order to describe the nature of the atmosphere reliably.